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The numbers behind flat track roller derby.

Week of May 21st - May 27th
(# Bouts)
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Bouts Played per Week
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May

TOTAL BOUTS THIS WEEK
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL WINS
5 / 5 predictable bouts played

More
Closest Predictions
Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.01
5/23: Silures (171) @ Brummies (173)
Expected: -0.08, Actual: 0.14
5/23: Silures (202) @ T&F: Inglorious B*... (269)
Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.32
5/24: Southern Discomfor... (146) @ Tyne & Fear (285)
Expected: 0.68, Actual: 0.67
5/23: Wirral (Men's) (60) @ Tyne & Fear (304)
Expected: 0.75, Actual: 0.51
5/24: Kent Men's (115) @ Southern Discomfor... (356)
More
Bouts To Watch
Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.32
5/24: Southern Discomfor... (146) @ Tyne & Fear (285)
Expected: -0.08, Actual: 0.14
5/23: Silures (202) @ T&F: Inglorious B*... (269)
Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.01
5/23: Silures (171) @ Brummies (173)
Expected: 0.68, Actual: 0.67
5/23: Wirral (Men's) (60) @ Tyne & Fear (304)
Expected: 0.75, Actual: 0.51
5/24: Kent Men's (115) @ Southern Discomfor... (356)
Tournaments
2026 Five Nations Ro...
2026 Five Nations Ro...
Biggest Movers
Kent Men's +13.7
T&F: Inglorious... +13.1
Tyne & Fear +10.3
Silures -16.5
Southern Discom... -24.4
More
Closest Bouts
2 pts
5/23: Silures (171) @ Brummies (173)
67 pts
5/23: Silures (202) @ T&F: Inglorious B*... (269)
139 pts
5/24: Southern Discomfor... (146) @ Tyne & Fear (285)
241 pts
5/24: Kent Men's (115) @ Southern Discomfor... (356)
244 pts
5/23: Wirral (Men's) (60) @ Tyne & Fear (304)
Biggest Upsets
5/23: Silures (202) @ T&F: Inglorious B*... (269)
5/23: Silures (171) @ Brummies (173)
Top Rankings in MRDA
1.Roller Derby Toulouse (Men's)962 
2.Saint Louis GateKeepers906 
3.Magic City Misfits901 
4.Tyne & Fear Roller Derby892+10.3
5.Concussion Roller Derby890 
6.Denver Roller Derby (Men's)878 
7.Roller Derby Nantes Atlantique849 
8.California Roller Derby842 
9.Panam Squad837 
10.Southern Discomfort Roller Derby833-24.4
11.15 Ronins828 
12.Puget Sound Outcast Derby827 
13.Track'Ass (Men's)815 
14.Carolina Wreckingballs812 
15.Gatos Monteses Roller Derby811 
16.Y'allhalla Roller Derby808 
17.Holkan Roller Derby802 
18.EMXRD (Mens)776 
19.The Inhuman League771 
20.Orcet Roller Derby Wolfgang770 
 
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 1
6 days ago, 5/23/26
Visitor
Wirral (Men's)
60
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
720.8 +0.5
28th in MRDA
881.1 -0.5
5th in MRDA
Home
Tyne & Fear
304
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.68
Expected: 0.68, Actual: 0.67
.67
Tyne & Fear was given a 99% chance of winning, but won by less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
9 : 47
9 : 46
Tyne & Fear scored a ratio of 46 : 9. This is 9 game points short of the expected ratio of 47 : 9.
Next Bout
6/14/26: Wirral (Men's) @
Brummies
Tyne & Fear has no bouts scheduled
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 1
VS
Wirral (Men's)
Tyne & Fear
60
304
5/23/26
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 2
6 days ago, 5/23/26
Visitor
Silures
202
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
657.8 -13.1
38th in MRDA
663.2 +13.1
35th in MRDA
Home
T&F: Inglorious B*...
269
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.08
Expected: -0.08, Actual: 0.14
.14
T&F: Inglorious B*... was given a 35% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
13 : 11
8 : 11
Silures scored a ratio of 8 : 11. This is 116 game points short of the expected ratio of 13 : 11.
Next Bout
Silures has no bouts scheduled
T&F: Inglorious B*... has no bouts scheduled
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 2
VS
Silures
T&F: Inglorious B*...
202
269
5/23/26
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 2
6 days ago, 5/23/26
Visitor
Silures
171
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
654.4 -3.4
39th in MRDA
646.6 +3.4
40th in MRDA
Home
Brummies
173
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.05
Expected: -0.05, Actual: 0.01
.01
Brummies was given a 40% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
10 : 9
9 : 9
Silures scored a ratio of 9 : 9. This is 21 game points short of the expected ratio of 10 : 9.
Next Bout
Silures has no bouts scheduled
5/30/26: Brummies @
Southern Discomfort
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 2
VS
Silures
Brummies
171
173
5/23/26
 
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 1
5 days ago, 5/24/26
Visitor
Southern Discomfor...
146
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
846.7 -10.7
8th in MRDA
891.9 +10.7
4th in MRDA
Home
Tyne & Fear
285
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.14
Expected: 0.14, Actual: 0.32
.32
Tyne & Fear was given a 74% chance of winning, and exceeded expectation.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
22 : 29
15 : 29
Southern Discomfor... scored a ratio of 15 : 29. This is 70 game points short of the expected ratio of 22 : 29.
Next Bout
5/30/26: Brummies @
Southern Discomfort
Tyne & Fear has no bouts scheduled
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 1
VS
Southern Discomfor...
Tyne & Fear
146
285
5/24/26
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 1
5 days ago, 5/24/26
Visitor
Kent Men's
115
Stats
Resulting Rating & Rank
671.0 +13.7
35th in MRDA
833.0 -13.7
10th in MRDA
Home
Southern Discomfor...
356
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL DoS
.75
Expected: 0.75, Actual: 0.51
.51
Southern Discomfor... was given a > 99% chance of winning, but won by less than expected.
EXPECTED vs ACTUAL SCORE RATIO
1 : 7
1 : 3
Southern Discomfor... scored a ratio of 3 : 1. This is 449 game points short of the expected ratio of 7 : 1.
Next Bout
Kent Men's has no bouts scheduled
5/30/26: Brummies @
Southern Discomfort
2026 Five Nations Roller Derby Championships: Open Tier 1
VS
Kent Men's
Southern Discomfor...
115
356
5/24/26
 
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